Lightning as seen from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper on NOAA's GOES-16 satellite from April 29, 2020. The World Meteorological Organization found that one lightning flash within this thunderstorm complex extended a horizontal distance of 477 miles (768 kilometers), making it the longest lightning flash on record. The previous record was a 440.6 mile (709 km) lightning flash recorded in Brazil in 2018.[1] Lightning rarely extends over 10 miles. (NOAA image. Click for larger image.)
Lightning strike probability, as shown on a map of the world, created from space-based optical sensing. The units are flashes per square kilometer per year. It's apparent that the warmer equatorial regions have higher probability, and it's been conjectured that global warming will increase the worldwide probability of lightning. It's estimated that a one degree Celsius increase in temperature leads to an increase in the frequency of lightning strikes of 12%.[3] (NSSTC Lightning Team image, via NASA.)[4]
The kite experiment is the most popular image of Franklin.
This engraving is from the 1881 textbook, "Natural Philosophy for Common and High Schools," by Le Roy C. Cooley (fig. 82 on page 159).
In Franklin's experiment, the hemp kite string, wet with rainwater, conducted electricity from the upper atmosphere to a door key. The door key was insulated from the string holder by a silk cord.
The popular image of lightning striking the kite is wrong. The kite just allowed charge from the upper atmosphere to be conducted to ground level.
((Wikimedia Commons image). Click for larger image.)
• Vacuum Hypothesis. This hypothesis is interesting, since it demonstrates that an explanation of ball lightning was considered as far back as 1899. The master electrician of that time, Nikola Tesla (1856-1943), a man who created his own lightning bolts, conjectured that ball lightning consisted of highly rarefied hot gas. I'm reminded of the similar phenomenon, sonoluminescence.While scientific data on ball lightning is still scarce, there's one observation that's quite complete. An account of a mid-1960s ball lightning incursion into a C-133A "Cargomaster" aircraft was recently published by Don Smith, a retired member of the United States Air Force.[6] Smith was the navigator aboard the C-133A cargo aircraft that was flying from California to Hawaii at night at an altitude of 18,000 feet. There were no storms in the vicinity, but the nose radome, visible from inside the cockpit, developed two horns of Saint Elmo's fire, each about a foot long, glowing blue.[6] Suddenly, a glowing ball about the size of a volleyball appeared just inside the windshield. (see figure). The ball didn't make contact with anything, and it didn't make any noticeable sound. The ball floated slowly downward between the pilots and the other cockpit crew members, and it came within a foot of Smith, at his waist, about three feet above the floor. It then proceeded to drift throughout the aircraft. A careful check of the aircraft while in flight, and later, while on the ground, revealed no damage. The ball lightning appeared about halfway between Travis AFB, California, and Hickam AFB, Hawaii.[6]
• Vaporized Silicon Hypothesis This hypothesis suggests that ball lightning is actually silicon, vaporized by a lightning strike to soil and turned into an aerosol, that burns by oxidation. Experiments have created such luminous balls with a lifetime of a few seconds, and a captured emission spectrum of natural ball lightning lends credence to this idea.
• Microwave Cavity Hypothesis. This hypothesis was first proposed by Nobel Physics Laureate, Pyotr Kapitsa (1894-1984). In this hypothesis, the ball is a resonant microwave cavity surrounded by plasma. The cavity is pumped by an atmospheric maser associated with the thunderstorm.
• Soliton Hypothesis. In this ball lightning model, a plasma ball is host for spherically symmetric nonlinear oscillations of charged particles.
• Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation. I mention this theory only because the usual explanation for unexplained phenomena is "mass hallucination." In this case, a little science is added in stating that magnetic fields can induce visual hallucinations resembling ball lightning. There is, however, much evidence that ball lighting is a physical effect, and not an hallucination.
• Rydberg Matter Concept. This idea, proposed in 2003 by my former research director, Jack Gilman (1925-2009), is that ball lightning consists of highly excited Rydberg atoms with large polarizabilities that bind them together through London dispersion forces.[5] I wrote about Jack in an earlier article (Strength of Materials, May 11, 2020).
• Collective Oscillations of Free Electrons. According to this hypothesis, the balls undergo radial oscillations that suck in charged particles from the air around them to act as fuel.
Reconstruction of ball lightning in an aircraft. (Fig. 2 of ref. 6, licensed under a Creative Commons license.[6] Click for larger image.)
Left, a 19th century engraving depicting ball lightning by Lantzy via Wikimedia Commons. Right, a Durham University photograph of a portion of the Chronicle of Gervase of Canterbury (c.1141-c.1210) where the medieval monk describes his observation of ball lightning, courtesy of The Master and Fellows of Trinity college, Cambridge, MS R.4.11, p.324. (Click for larger image.)
"We should not dismiss medieval descriptions of the natural world as being mired in superstition and therefore of no value. This event was evidently sufficiently spectacular for it to merit special mention in the chronicle. Ball lightning was not understood then and it is still not understood now."[7]This sentiment is affirmed by Susan Powell of BBC Weather, who says
"Modern technology allows us to observe our weather in more detail than ever before and understand with greater depth. Ball lightning however remains elusive and it's the subject of many theories. It's interesting to think that in this respect, despite our advances, we stand as mystified as observers in the 12th century."[7]